AI Clinical Development Software

  • Do your internal probability of technical and regulatory success (PTRS) estimates utilize the best possible data available?

  • Are you concerned that your PTRS assessments may be too subjective?

  • Are your benchmarks inconsistent and based on limited information? 

  • Does the process of expert solicitation take significant resources and time? 

  • Do you need additional insights to inform asset and portfolio strategies? 

  • Do you need to understand the competitive landscape for your asset better? 

  • Do you want to understand how each trial design parameter affects PTRS assessment?

  • Do your internal probability of technical and regulatory success (PTRS) estimates utilize the best possible data available?

  • Are you concerned that your PTRS assessments may be too subjective?

  • Are your benchmarks inconsistent and based on limited information? 

  • Does the process of expert solicitation take significant resources and time? 

  • Do you need additional insights to inform asset and portfolio strategies? 

  • Do you need to understand the competitive landscape for your asset better? 

  • Do you want to understand how each trial design parameter affects PTRS assessment?

Solutions and Insights to Drive Success

Solutions and Insights
to Drive Success

Assess current pipeline with real-time AI-driven PTRS for faster, more confident decisions.
Gain transparency and context with AI Explainability with PTRS drivers to understand the impact they have on the assessment.
See phase transition for industry-led, interventional, FDA-track trials.
Explore clinical programs which include one or more clinical trials showing the progress of a specific drug (or combination of drugs) through clinical development phases.
Access to comprehensive, granular, disease-specific benchmarks.

Together, Let’s Drive Your Strategic Portfolio Management Forward

Increase R&D ROI

Save between $8-25M* per year, by reducing the number of failed Phase 2 and Phase 3 trials.

  • Augment internal discussions consistently and calibrate PTRS assessments across assets
  • Save resources associated with PTRS elicitation and calibration
  • Challenge internal thinking and reduce subjectivity and biases
  • Improve resource allocation by stopping less-promising projects early

*Based on failed trials only in oncology and I&I
**Based on blockbuster drug

Accelerate Time to Market

Save between $2-5M per month of delayed launch of a single asset** by accelerating investment decision-making.

  • Reduce number of risk elicitation and alignment meetings
  • Increase data and explainability transparency
  • Make faster decisions and accelerate execution speed

*Based on failed trials only in oncology and I&I
**Based on blockbuster drug

Make Smarter Deals

Save between $3-5M per in-licensing deal in upfront payments for every 5% points of miscalculated PTRS.

  • Apply the same level of rigor for internal assets
  • Reduce information asymmetry during valuation
  • Reduce number of missed-out opportunities due to risk over-estimation

*Based on failed trials only in oncology and I&I
**Based on blockbuster drug

Here's What Portfolio Optimizer Can Do for You

Expensive and time-consuming expert elicition and KOL process.


Leverage Portfolio Optimizer to complement and enhance internal process with consistent and comprehensive data.


Save valuable resources while minimizing manual effort and human bias.


Limited data and high risk on early stage licensing. High-costs and competition on later stage assets.


Use Portfolio Optimizer to compare PTRS of various candidates, assess them against objective benchmarks, and compare the competitive landscape to support your valuation efforts.


Identify promising assets earlier and more confidently by incorporating data-driven probability of success assessment  to support your business case and negotiations.


Lack of consistent and comprehensive benchmarking data make for difficult decisions on which drug candidates to move forward.


Use Portfolio Optimizer to inform decisions on therapeutic area expansion, indication and phase benchmarking to rank drug development opportunities.


Leverage objective assessments to generate a list of prioritized assets and foster internal alignment and understand where your asset fits in the competitive landscape.

Intelligencia’s AI Model Accurately Predicted 85% of Approvals and 81% of Failures in Phase 2 Trials.

The predictive performance of our algorithms in forecasting FDA approvals for Phase 2 oncology programs boasts a prospectively validated accuracy of 83%*, and 90% when measured retrospectively.

*Based on Intelligencia AI predictions as of May 2022 for oncology
programs with definite announcements in 2023.

The predictive performance of our algorithms in forecasting FDA approvals for Phase 2 oncology programs boasts a prospectively validated accuracy of 83%*, and 90% when measured retrospectively.

The predictive performance of our algorithms in forecasting FDA approvals for Phase 2 oncology programs boasts a prospectively validated accuracy of 83%*, and 90% when measured retrospectively.

Our Industry-Leading Accuracy Is Validated With Four Distinct Methods

Our Industry-Leading Accuracy Is Validated With Four Distinct Methods

Retrospective Accuracy

Retrospective Accuracy

Area under the curve (AUC) is a metric which indicates whether the model assigns higher probability to the approved programs higher than the failed ones. The higher the AUC the better.

Sensitivity/ Specificity

Sensitivity/ Specificity

The True Positive (sensitivity) and True Negative (specificity) rates highlight the ability of the model to correctly identify approved and rejected programs, accordingly. The higher the rates the better.

Brier Score Loss

Brier Score Loss

Brier Score Loss (BSL) is a metric that quantifies the accuracy of probability predictions. BSL penalizes high probabilities of failed programs and low probabilities of approved programs. The lower the BSL the better.

Prospective Accuracy

Prospective Accuracy

The Calibration Curve measures prospectively how closely the predicted probabilities match the actual and observed outcomes, helping to understand the reliability of the model.

  • What are the historical success rates of past assets?

  • What are the decisions that could lead to different clinical outcomes?

  • How does my asset compare to historical programs and their clinical trial choices?

  • How do I better understand the risk drivers for my asset or portfolio?

  • What are the historical success rates of past assets?

  • What are the decisions that could lead to different clinical outcomes?

  • How does my asset compare to historical programs and their clinical trial choices?

  • How do I better understand the risk drivers for my asset or portfolio?

  • What are the historical success rates of past assets?

  • What are the decisions that could lead to different clinical outcomes?

  • How does my asset compare to historical programs and their clinical trial choices?

  • How do I better understand the risk drivers for my asset or portfolio?

So Where Would Clinical Development Insights Fit into Your Workflow?
So Where Would Clinical Development Insights Fit into Your Workflow?

Improve Risk Assessment


Enhance Strategy